UL Monroe @ App State, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDUL MonroeULM0–0·SBC
App StateAPP0–0·SBC
APP radioApp State Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives App State a 89% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 7–1 · App State won the last meeting, 41–40 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UL Monroe @ App State
Your sims:Sims: APP 0, ULM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)UL Monroe
UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)
Lat Louisiana30–27 (OT)Lat Texas State31–14Lvs South Alabama26–14UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
App State vs UL Monroe Stats ComparisonApp State vs UL Monroe Stats Comparison
2025 stats| App StateAPP | UL MonroeULM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#91 | PPG | 16.6#130 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 31.9#119 |
| 384.9#71 | YDS/G | 322.2#118 |
| 256.5#34 | PASS/G | 159.6#124 |
| 128.4#102 | RUSH/G | 162.6#63 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 32.8%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 32.7%#124 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.08#115 |
| 0.18#86 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.0%#121 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.7%#57 |
| 37.9% | RET PROD | 38.7% |
| 1.19#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#11 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -28.9 |
| -9.8#109 | FPI | -19.3#138 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
FAN NEWS
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