UT Martin @ Memphis, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
UTM radioSkyhawk Sports Network / WCMT
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UT Martin a 2% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 2–1 · Memphis won the last meeting, 21–6 · 2013
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge MEM
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UT Martin @ Memphis
Your sims:Sims: UTM 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UT Martin vs Memphis Stats ComparisonUT Martin vs Memphis Stats Comparison
| UT MartinUTM | MemphisMEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 34.5 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 391.5 | YDS/G | 470.5 |
| 204 | PASS/G | 205.5 |
| 187.5 | RUSH/G | 265 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 7.7 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.39 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 46.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 48.4% |
| 34.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.4% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| – | RET PROD | 5.6% |
| – | ELO | 1566 |
| – | SP+ | 2.1 |
| – | FPI | 2.1#61 |
THE VENUE
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumLocationMemphis, TN
Capacity58,325
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation297 ft
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