UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
RGV win
79% One-score game
28%
79% One-score game
28%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) RGV
Home-field edge NWST
Model projection RGV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern St
Your sims:Sims: RGV 0, NWST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UT Rio Grande Valley vs Northwestern State Stats ComparisonRGV vs NWST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV | Northwestern StateNWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | PPG | 21.5 |
| 22.5 | PA/G | 61 |
| 551.5 | YDS/G | 327 |
| 324.5 | PASS/G | 192 |
| 227 | RUSH/G | 135 |
| 6.9 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 42.4% | 3RD DOWN | 31.2% |
| 0.17 | DEF PPA | 0.38 |
| 44.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.9% |
| 47.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.0% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| 0.13 | OFF PPA | -0.04 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Harry Turpin StadiumLocationNatchitoches, LA
Capacity15,971
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation120 ft
FAN NEWS
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