Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDMSST radioBulldog Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mississippi State a 48% chance.
SeriesMississippi State leads 15–7–2 · Mississippi State won the last meeting, 45–6 · 2021
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) VAN
Home-field edge MSST
Model projection VAN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State
Your sims:Sims: MSST 0, VAN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Mississippi State
Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)
Lvs Wake Forest43–29Lvs Ole Miss38–19Lat Missouri49–27Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt Stats ComparisonMSST vs Vanderbilt Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Mississippi StateMSST | VanderbiltVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.4#42 | PPG | 38.5#8 |
| 30.2#106 | PA/G | 22.8#47 |
| 399.2#56 | YDS/G | 463.2#9 |
| 241.4#54 | PASS/G | 287.3#10 |
| 157.8#68 | RUSH/G | 175.9#49 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 42.7%#38 | 3RD DOWN | 51.1%#6 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.15#80 | OFF PPA | 0.41#1 |
| 0.20#107 | DEF PPA | 0.19#96 |
| 42.0%#73 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.3%#5 |
| 43.3%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 33.9% | RET PROD | 35.4% |
| 1.28#44 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42#5 |
| 4.8 | SP+ | 9.8 |
| 4.1#49 | FPI | 9.0#29 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Davis Wade StadiumLocationStarkville, MS
Capacity61,337
SurfaceGrass
Opened1914
Elevation362 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
