Virginia Tech @ SMU, Week 10 · 2026
@#19
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Virginia Tech a 33% chance.
SeriesSMU leads 2–1 · SMU won the last meeting, 28–25 · 1974
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SMU
Home-field edge SMU
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Virginia Tech @ SMU
Your sims:Sims: VT 0, SMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Virginia Tech vs SMU Stats ComparisonVT vs SMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Virginia TechVT | SMUSMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#113 | PPG | 32.2#26 |
| 30.2#106 | PA/G | 20.5#30 |
| 349.5#97 | YDS/G | 417#30 |
| 166.3#119 | PASS/G | 283.1#14 |
| 183.2#32 | RUSH/G | 133.9#95 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| 39.4%#72 | 3RD DOWN | 40.8%#56 |
| 0.17#64 | OFF PPA | 0.25#22 |
| 0.27#131 | DEF PPA | 0.03#11 |
| 41.8%#76 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#54 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#47 |
| 36.7% | RET PROD | 56.9% |
| 1.24#63 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#10 |
| 8.6 | SP+ | 12.1 |
| 7.4#33 | FPI | 11.1#24 |
| −9#120 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Gerald J. Ford StadiumLocationUniversity Park, TX
Capacity32,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2000
Elevation556 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
