Wagner @ Mercyhurst, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDMERC radioMercyhurst Athletics Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mercyhurst a 68% chance.
SeriesMercyhurst leads 1–0 · Mercyhurst won the last meeting, 19–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MERC
Home-field edge MERC
Model projection MERC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wagner @ Mercyhurst
Your sims:Sims: MERC 0, WAG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Mercyhurst vs Wagner Stats ComparisonMercyhurst vs Wagner Stats Comparison
2026 stats| MercyhurstMERC | WagnerWAG | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 19 |
| 47 | PA/G | 17.5 |
| 239 | YDS/G | 253 |
| 189.5 | PASS/G | 171 |
| 49.5 | RUSH/G | 82 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 3.8 |
| 36.4% | 3RD DOWN | 22.6% |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | 0.03 |
| 33.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 29.9% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 28.7% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | -0.14 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Saxon StadiumLocationErie, PA
Capacity2,300
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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