Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State, Week 4 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·StreamingESPN+
ETSU radioBuccaneer Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Tennessee State a 61% chance.
SeriesEast Tennessee State leads 6–5 · East Tennessee State won the last meeting, 52–35 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
ETSU win
61% One-score game
36%
61% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETSU
Home-field edge ETSU
Model projection ETSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee St
Your sims:Sims: ETSU 0, WCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Tennessee State vs Western Carolina Stats ComparisonETSU vs WCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| East Tennessee StateETSU | Western CarolinaWCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5 | PPG | 21.3 |
| 31.5 | PA/G | 16.3 |
| 506 | YDS/G | 278.3 |
| 316 | PASS/G | 215.3 |
| 190 | RUSH/G | 63 |
| 7.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1 |
| 56.5% | 3RD DOWN | 37.0% |
| 0.38 | OFF PPA | 0.14 |
| 0.22 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| 50.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.0% |
| 38.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1% |
| 1.40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +5 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
William B. Greene Jr. StadiumLocationJohnson City, TN
Capacity7,694
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,681 ft
FAN NEWS
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