GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 95% chance.
SeriesYoungstown State leads 2–0 since 2023 · Youngstown State won the last meeting, 51–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) YSU
Home-field edge MUR
Model projection YSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Youngstown State @ Murray State
Your sims:Sims: MUR 0, YSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Youngstown State
Wvs Northern Iowa35–22Wat Indiana State57–24Wat Southern Illinois28–16
Murray State
Lat South Dakota State42–9Lvs South Dakota48–20Lat North Dakota55–28
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Youngstown State vs Murray State Stats ComparisonYSU vs Murray State Stats Comparison
| Youngstown StateYSU | Murray StateMUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1 | PPG | 14.8 |
| 23.1 | PA/G | 41.8 |
| 470.2 | YDS/G | 276.8 |
| 276.5 | PASS/G | 161.5 |
| 193.8 | RUSH/G | 115.2 |
| 7.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 57.0% | 3RD DOWN | 30.3% |
| 0.15 | DEF PPA | 0.26 |
| 53.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.6% |
| 41.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 50.3% |
| 1.27 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −5 |
| 0.37 | OFF PPA | -0.07 |
| -13.9 | SRS | -44.7 |
THE VENUE
Roy Stewart StadiumLocationMurray, KY
Capacity16,800
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation501 ft
FAN NEWS
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