Air Force @ New Mexico, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 67% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 26–16 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 20–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Air Force @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico
New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs Minnesota20–17 (OT)Wvs San Diego State23–17 (OT)Wat Air Force20–3New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico vs Air Force Stats ComparisonNew Mexico vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New MexicoUNM | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1#73 | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| 22.3#46 | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| 357.2#90 | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| 204.8#92 | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| 152.4#76 | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 39.4%#72 | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| 0.10#45 | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| 40.8%#88 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| 39.5%#46 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| 58.2% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.25#55 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| 0.0 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -3.5#81 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
