Akron @ Wake Forest, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Wake Forest opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Wake Forest a 96% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
WAKE win
96% One-score game
10% Cover WAKE −23.5
60%
96% One-score game
10% Cover WAKE −23.5
60%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) WAKE
Home-field edge WAKE
Market lean WAKE
Model projection WAKE
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Akron @ Wake Forest
Your sims:Sims: WAKE 0, AKR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Wake Forest95%
Akron6%
CFB Vibes ModelWAKE 96%MarketWAKE 95%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $44,749 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADWAKE −23.5AKR +23.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEWAKE −2800AKR +1300
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Wake Forest vs Akron Stats ComparisonWake Forest vs Akron Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Wake ForestWAKE | AkronAKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1#62 | PPG | 22.2#108 |
| 22.1#44 | PA/G | 27.4#84 |
| 393.8#63 | YDS/G | 355.4#92 |
| 237.7#58 | PASS/G | 219#79 |
| 156.2#70 | RUSH/G | 136.4#92 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 40.0%#67 | 3RD DOWN | 30.8%#131 |
| 0.16#77 | OFF PPA | 0.07#117 |
| 0.04#13 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 38.0%#116 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.5%#107 |
| 35.5%#10 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 14.2% | RET PROD | 91.8% |
| 1.48#3 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#105 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 3.4 | SP+ | -22.9 |
| 3.4#53 | FPI | -16.9#133 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationWinston-Salem, NC
Capacity31,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation930 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
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