GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·ALST radioASU / Hornets Radio Network
TXSO radioTiger Sports Network / KTSU
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alabama State a 69% chance.
SeriesAlabama State leads 12–2 since 2007 · Alabama State won the last meeting, 42–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALST
Home-field edge TXSO
Model projection ALST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama State @ Texas Southern
Your sims:Sims: TXSO 0, ALST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Alabama State
Wat Arkansas-Pine Bluff21–15Lvs Florida A&M28–27Lat Bethune-Cookman16–10
Texas Southern
Wvs Southern24–21Lvs Mississippi Valley State38–34Lat Florida Atlantic66–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Alabama State vs Texas Southern Stats ComparisonALST vs TXSO Stats Comparison
| Alabama StateALST | Texas SouthernTXSO | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.7 | PPG | 24.9 |
| 17.9 | PA/G | 43 |
| 281.4 | YDS/G | 340.7 |
| 124.3 | PASS/G | 169.1 |
| 157.1 | RUSH/G | 171.6 |
| 5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4 |
| 32.9% | 3RD DOWN | 37.3% |
| 0.03 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 39.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.8% |
| 36.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.5% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +4 | TO MARGIN | −6 |
| -0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.19 |
| -37.1 | SRS | -49.4 |
THE VENUE
BBVA Compass StadiumLocationHouston, TX
Capacity22,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2012
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
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