GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·ALST radioASU / Hornets Radio Network
TXSO radioTiger Sports Network / KTSU
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alabama State a 66% chance.
SeriesAlabama State leads 12–2 · Alabama State won the last meeting, 42–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALST
Home-field edge TXSO
Model projection ALST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama State @ Texas Southern
Your sims:Sims: TXSO 0, ALST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Alabama State vs Texas Southern Stats ComparisonALST vs TXSO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Alabama StateALST | Texas SouthernTXSO | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | PPG | 28 |
| 8.5 | PA/G | 41 |
| 314.5 | YDS/G | 390 |
| 160 | PASS/G | 143.5 |
| 154.5 | RUSH/G | 246.5 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 30.4% | 3RD DOWN | 42.9% |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| 39.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3% |
| 32.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.0% |
| 1.34 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28 |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
BBVA Compass StadiumLocationHouston, TX
Capacity22,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2012
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
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