Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDARST radioRed Wolves Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arkansas State a 47% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 3–3 · Coastal Carolina won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARST
Home-field edge CCU
Model projection CCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ARST 0, CCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Arkansas State
Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Wvs Missouri State34–28Wat App State30–29Lvs Louisiana34–30Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Louisiana Tech23–14Lvs James Madison59–10Lat South Carolina51–7Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Stats ComparisonARST vs CCU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Arkansas StateARST | Coastal CarolinaCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2#87 | PPG | 22.2#108 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 33.1#125 |
| 383.3#74 | YDS/G | 325.8#116 |
| 259.8#32 | PASS/G | 169.5#117 |
| 123.5#108 | RUSH/G | 156.3#69 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 39.3%#74 | 3RD DOWN | 33.0%#121 |
| 0.09#110 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.19#97 | DEF PPA | 0.20#104 |
| 41.9%#75 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.1%#126 |
| 43.6%#97 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.2%#106 |
| 30.0% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.15#121 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#54 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -14.7 |
| -9.2#107 | FPI | -12.1#117 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Brooks Stadium (SC)LocationConway, SC
Capacity21,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2003
Elevation45 ft
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