Ball State @ Massachusetts, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDMASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Massachusetts a 41% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Ball State won the last meeting, 20–10 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BALL
Home-field edge MASS
Model projection BALL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Massachusetts
Your sims:Sims: MASS 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Ball State Stats ComparisonMASS vs Ball State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MassachusettsMASS | Ball StateBALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1#136 | PPG | 15.8#132 |
| 38.6#136 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 247.5#136 | YDS/G | 271.7#134 |
| 165.1#120 | PASS/G | 138#131 |
| 82.4#134 | RUSH/G | 133.7#96 |
| 3.9#136 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| 30.7%#132 | 3RD DOWN | 33.5%#119 |
| 0.26#128 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 33.6%#134 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.5%#136 |
| 48.0%#131 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 1.18#108 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#29 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -0.03#136 | OFF PPA | -0.00#133 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | 5.7% |
| -32.9 | SP+ | -25.1 |
| -18.8#137 | FPI | -17.3#134 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Warren McGuirk Alumni StadiumLocationHadley, MA
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation153 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
