San José State @ Eastern Michigan, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Eastern Michigan opens a 3-point favorite. Our model gives Eastern Michigan a 57% chance.
SeriesEastern Michigan leads 2–0 · Eastern Michigan won the last meeting, 41–27 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) SJSU
Home-field edge EMU
Market lean EMU
Model projection EMU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
San José St @ Eastern Michigan
Your sims:Sims: EMU 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)
Wvs Sacramento State28–17Eastern Michigan2026: 1–0 (1–0 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSJSU +3EMU −3
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINESJSU +130EMU −155
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
San José State vs Eastern Michigan Stats ComparisonSJSU vs EMU Stats Comparison
| San José StateSJSU | Eastern MichiganEMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | PPG | 28 |
| 42 | PA/G | 17 |
| 336 | YDS/G | 348 |
| 234 | PASS/G | 279 |
| 102 | RUSH/G | 69 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 45.5% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| 43.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.4% |
| 66.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.4% |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| 0.39 | DEF PPA | -0.08 |
| -15.7 | SP+ | -16.1 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | -16.3#131 |
THE VENUE
Rynearson StadiumLocationYpsilanti, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation791 ft
FAN NEWS
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