Ball State @ Ohio State, Week 1 · 2026
@#1
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Ohio State opens a 50.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ohio State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OSU
Home-field edge OSU
Market lean OSU
Model projection OSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Ball State @ Ohio State
Your sims:Sims: OSU 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADBALL +50.5OSU −50.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Ball State vs Ohio State Stats ComparisonBall State vs Ohio State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | Ohio StateOSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 33.4#21 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 9.3#1 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 423#26 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 268.2#23 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 154.8#74 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 52.6%#3 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.2%#1 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8%#12 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | 68.3% |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#124 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | 0.33#7 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | -0.01#5 |
| -25.1 | SP+ | 32.7 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | 28.7#1 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ohio StadiumLocationColumbus, OH
Capacity102,780
SurfaceTurf
Opened1922
Elevation711 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Ball State or Ohio State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
