Boston College @ Notre Dame, Week 11 · 2026
@#4
GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Boston College a 2% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 19–9 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 25–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ND
Home-field edge ND
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Boston College @ Notre Dame
Your sims:Sims: BC 0, ND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Boston College vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonBC vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Boston CollegeBC | Notre DameND | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4#85 | PPG | 42#2 |
| 32.8#123 | PA/G | 17.6#10 |
| 384.2#73 | YDS/G | 459.5#12 |
| 280.2#15 | PASS/G | 255.1#37 |
| 104#128 | RUSH/G | 204.4#17 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 39.0%#77 | 3RD DOWN | 48.1%#13 |
| 0.16#72 | OFF PPA | 0.33#6 |
| 0.23#116 | DEF PPA | 0.02#9 |
| 43.0%#60 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.3%#24 |
| 42.9%#91 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.3%#14 |
| 15.6% | RET PROD | 51.2% |
| 1.21#85 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.50#1 |
| −9#120 | TO MARGIN | +13#7 |
| -2.5 | SP+ | 26.5 |
| -2.7#78 | FPI | 25.9#3 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Notre Dame StadiumLocationNotre Dame, IN
Capacity80,795
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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