Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
West Virginia opens a 21-point favorite. Our model gives West Virginia a 94% chance.
SeriesWest Virginia leads 1–0 · West Virginia won the last meeting, 31–0 · 2010
94% One-score game
14% Cover WVU −21
57%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: WVU 0, CCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
West Virginia2025: 4–8 (2–7 B12)
Coastal Carolina2025: 6–7 (5–3 SBC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $11,705 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina Stats ComparisonWVU vs CCU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| West VirginiaWVU | Coastal CarolinaCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.8#110 | PPG | 22.2#108 |
| 30.8#113 | PA/G | 33.1#125 |
| 349.6#96 | YDS/G | 325.8#116 |
| 188.9#103 | PASS/G | 169.5#117 |
| 160.7#65 | RUSH/G | 156.3#69 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 29.6%#134 | 3RD DOWN | 33.0%#121 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| 0.07#116 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.16#72 | DEF PPA | 0.20#104 |
| 37.3%#119 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.1%#126 |
| 39.9%#50 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.2%#106 |
| 14.0% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.22#84 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#54 |
| -1.3 | SP+ | -14.7 |
| 0.2#66 | FPI | -12.1#117 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
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