GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Haven a 56% chance.
SeriesDuquesne leads 1–0 since 2025 · Duquesne won the last meeting, 44–18 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) DUQ
Home-field edge NHVN
Model projection NHVN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Duquesne @ New Haven
Your sims:Sims: NHVN 0, DUQ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNHVN 56%MarketNHVN 43%
Market 13 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 25, 2:20 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Duquesne vs New Haven Stats ComparisonDuquesne vs New Haven Stats Comparison
| DuquesneDUQ | New HavenNHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9 | PPG | 15.2 |
| 28.1 | PA/G | 29 |
| 295.1 | YDS/G | 283.5 |
| 155.9 | PASS/G | 191 |
| 139.3 | RUSH/G | 92.5 |
| 5.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.4 |
| 37.0% | 3RD DOWN | 30.8% |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| 37.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 32.4% |
| 44.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.7% |
| 1.26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.01 | OFF PPA | -0.10 |
| -44.1 | SRS | -45.3 |
THE VENUE
Ralph F. DellaCamera StadiumLocationWest Haven, CT
Capacity5,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2009
Elevation23 ft
FAN NEWS
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