East Carolina @ Army, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Army a 59% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 9–1 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 28–6 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ARMY
Model projection ARMY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Army vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonArmy vs ECU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ArmyARMY | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8#94 | PPG | 32.7#24 |
| 21.6#39 | PA/G | 20.1#25 |
| 335.8#110 | YDS/G | 449#19 |
| 80.8#136 | PASS/G | 272.7#21 |
| 255#4 | RUSH/G | 176.3#46 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 41.2%#51 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| 0.18#54 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.17#84 | DEF PPA | 0.05#16 |
| 42.2%#70 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.6%#24 |
| 80.2% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.14#125 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| -2.4 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| -5.6#89 | FPI | -0.6#68 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Michie StadiumLocationWest Point, NY
Capacity38,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation326 ft
FAN NEWS
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