GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tarleton State a 97% chance.
SeriesEastern Kentucky leads 3–1 since 2021 · Tarleton State won the last meeting, 31–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge TAR
Model projection TAR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Eastern Kentucky @ Tarleton St
Your sims:Sims: TAR 0, EKU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky2026: 3–5
Wvs West Florida16–13Lat Tennessee Tech49–20Wvs West Georgia30–20
Tarleton State
Tarleton State2026: 8–0
Wat West Georgia49–6Wvs Central Arkansas49–35Wat Austin Peay40–32
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Eastern Kentucky vs Tarleton State Stats ComparisonEKU vs TAR Stats Comparison
| Eastern KentuckyEKU | Tarleton StateTAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2 | PPG | 41.9 |
| 28.8 | PA/G | 22.6 |
| 340.4 | YDS/G | 506.4 |
| 172 | PASS/G | 297.4 |
| 168.4 | RUSH/G | 209 |
| 5.3 | YDS/PLAY | 8 |
| 33.3% | 3RD DOWN | 44.9% |
| 0.09 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
| 37.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.3% |
| 41.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.8% |
| 1.17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38 |
| −8 | TO MARGIN | +11 |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.37 |
| -42.1 | SRS | -16.3 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationStephenville, TX
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Elevation1,319 ft
FAN NEWS
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