GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Elon a 63% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina A&T leads 6–5 since 2003 · Elon won the last meeting, 55–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ELON
Home-field edge NCAT
Model projection ELON
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Elon @ North Carolina A&T
Your sims:Sims: NCAT 0, ELON 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
North Carolina A&T
Wvs Chicago State27–12Wvs New Hampshire30–27 (OT)Lat Bryant31–30
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelELON 63%MarketELON 66%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,189 traded · as of Oct 25, 12:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Elon vs North Carolina A&T Stats ComparisonElon vs NCAT Stats Comparison
| ElonELON | North Carolina A&TNCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4 | PPG | 20.2 |
| 19.5 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 355.1 | YDS/G | 318.6 |
| 179.1 | PASS/G | 206.8 |
| 176 | RUSH/G | 111.9 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2 |
| 24.5% | 3RD DOWN | 44.4% |
| 39.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 34.3% |
| 34.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.9% |
| 1.23 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.45 |
| −12 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| -0.02 | OFF PPA | 0.08 |
| -0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| -33.7 | SRS | -43.1 |
THE VENUE
Aggie StadiumLocationGreensboro, NC
Capacity21,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1981
Elevation771 ft
FAN NEWS
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