Florida @ Auburn, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·FloridaFLA0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Florida opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Florida a 54% chance.
SeriesAuburn leads 44–39–2 · Florida won the last meeting, 24–13 · 2019
What's driving the model
Home-field edge AUB
Market lean FLA
Model projection FLA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Florida @ Auburn
Your sims:Sims: FLA 0, AUB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADFLA −1.5AUB +1.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEFLA −112AUB −108
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Florida vs Auburn Stats ComparisonFlorida vs Auburn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| FloridaFLA | AuburnAUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6#111 | PPG | 26.8#74 |
| 24#60 | PA/G | 20.7#34 |
| 341.3#104 | YDS/G | 374#79 |
| 204.6#93 | PASS/G | 197.1#99 |
| 136.8#91 | RUSH/G | 176.9#43 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 34.4%#113 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#75 |
| 0.14#87 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 0.17#81 | DEF PPA | 0.06#20 |
| 42.9%#62 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.5%#51 |
| 42.9%#91 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#21 |
| 69.1% | RET PROD | 14.4% |
| 1.10#133 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#121 |
| 15.2 | SP+ | 11.5 |
| 13.6#18 | FPI | 12.0#22 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jordan-Hare StadiumLocationAuburn, AL
Capacity87,451
SurfaceGrass
Opened1939
Elevation660 ft
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