Clemson @ LSU, Week 1 · 2026
@#11
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·ClemsonCLEM0–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
LSU opens a 10-point favorite. Our model gives LSU a 77% chance.
SeriesLSU leads 4–1 · LSU won the last meeting, 17–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) CLEM
Home-field edge LSU
Market lean LSU
Model projection LSU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Clemson @ LSU
Your sims:Sims: LSU 0, CLEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelLSU 77%MarketLSU 78%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $171,929 traded · as of Sep 1, 10:21 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCLEM +10LSU −10
TOTALOver 50.5Under 50.5
MONEYLINECLEM +280LSU −355
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Clemson vs LSU Stats ComparisonClemson vs LSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ClemsonCLEM | LSULSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.2#72 | PPG | 22.8#103 |
| 20.5#30 | PA/G | 19.8#23 |
| 392.2#66 | YDS/G | 334.2#111 |
| 267.8#24 | PASS/G | 229.5#63 |
| 124.5#106 | RUSH/G | 104.8#125 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 34.3%#114 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| 0.18#58 | OFF PPA | 0.09#111 |
| 0.10#38 | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| 42.7%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.9%#100 |
| 37.3%#20 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.5%#33 |
| 41.4% | RET PROD | 21.2% |
| 1.22#82 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#75 |
| 13.1 | SP+ | 20.4 |
| 13.4#19 | FPI | 20.0#9 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Tiger Stadium (LA)LocationBaton Rouge, LA
Capacity102,321
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation25 ft
FAN NEWS
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