Fresno State @ Utah State, Week 10 · 2026
@
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·TVUSA Net
USU radioAggie Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah State a 43% chance.
SeriesFresno State leads 19–14–1 · Utah State won the last meeting, 28–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FRES
Home-field edge USU
Model projection FRES
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Fresno State @ Utah State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, FRES 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Fresno State
Fresno State2025: 9–4 (5–3 MWC)
Wvs Miami (OH)18–3Wat San José State41–14Lvs Utah State28–17Fresno State2025: 9–4 (5–3 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Utah State vs Fresno State Stats ComparisonUtah State vs Fresno State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Utah StateUSU | Fresno StateFRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 25.8#81 |
| 28.7#90 | PA/G | 18.8#16 |
| 409.8#40 | YDS/G | 354.1#94 |
| 246.9#48 | PASS/G | 183.4#112 |
| 162.9#62 | RUSH/G | 170.7#54 |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 36.4%#100 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.20#41 | OFF PPA | 0.10#103 |
| 0.20#101 | DEF PPA | 0.08#31 |
| 41.1%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.7%#105 |
| 42.7%#90 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#31 |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.35#17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| -7.9 | SP+ | -1.4 |
| -6.7#92 | FPI | -2.5#77 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Maverik StadiumLocationLogan, UT
Capacity25,513
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation4,685 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Utah State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
