Idaho State @ Utah State, Week 1 · 2026
IDST@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Idaho StateIDST–
Utah StateUSU0–0·PAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Utah State opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Utah State a 80% chance.
SeriesUtah State leads 15–2 · Utah State won the last meeting, 78–28 · 2023
What's driving the model
Home-field edge USU
Market lean USU
Model projection USU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Idaho State @ Utah State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, IDST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUSU −13.5IDST +13.5
TOTALOver 62.5Under 62.5
MONEYLINEUSU −535IDST +400
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Utah State vs Idaho State Stats ComparisonUtah State vs Idaho State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Utah StateUSU | Idaho StateIDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | – |
| 28.7#90 | PA/G | – |
| 409.8#40 | YDS/G | – |
| 246.9#48 | PASS/G | – |
| 162.9#62 | RUSH/G | – |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.20#41 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.20#101 | DEF PPA | – |
| 41.1%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 42.7%#90 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.35#17 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -7.9 | SP+ | – |
| -6.7#92 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Maverik StadiumLocationLogan, UT
Capacity25,513
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation4,685 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
