GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Harvard a 53% chance.
SeriesHarvard leads 18–4 since 2003 · Harvard won the last meeting, 31–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) HARV
Home-field edge DART
Model projection HARV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Harvard @ Dartmouth
Your sims:Sims: DART 0, HARV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelHARV 53%MarketHARV 68%
Market 15 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $76 traded · as of Oct 24, 11:00 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Harvard vs Dartmouth Stats ComparisonHarvard vs Dartmouth Stats Comparison
| HarvardHARV | DartmouthDART | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | PPG | 22.3 |
| 12.8 | PA/G | 22 |
| 375.7 | YDS/G | 326 |
| 247.2 | PASS/G | 175.3 |
| 128.5 | RUSH/G | 150.7 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4 |
| 42.9% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| +9 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.16 | OFF PPA | 0.19 |
| 45.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.2% |
| 35.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.8% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32 |
| -0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| -19.8 | SRS | -25.1 |
THE VENUE
Memorial FieldLocationHanover, NH
Capacity11,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation500 ft
FAN NEWS
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