Indiana State @ Purdue, Week 1 · 2026
INST@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Purdue opens a 35.5-point favorite. Our model gives Purdue a 99% chance.
SeriesPurdue leads 7–0 · Purdue won the last meeting, 49–0 · 2024
What's driving the model
Home-field edge PUR
Market lean PUR
Model projection PUR
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Indiana State @ Purdue
Your sims:Sims: PUR 0, INST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADPUR −35.5INST +35.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Purdue vs Indiana State Stats ComparisonPurdue vs INST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| PurduePUR | Indiana StateINST | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | – |
| 31.8#117 | PA/G | – |
| 343.6#102 | YDS/G | – |
| 217.2#80 | PASS/G | – |
| 126.4#105 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 38.4%#85 | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.27#132 | DEF PPA | – |
| 42.0%#73 | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 47.8%#129 | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 47.5% | RET PROD | – |
| 1.22#77 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -2.2 | SP+ | – |
| -0.9#71 | FPI | – |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ross-Ade StadiumLocationWest Lafayette, IN
Capacity57,282
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation648 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
