GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UT Rio Grande Valley a 53% chance.
SeriesLamar leads 1–0 since 2025 · Lamar won the last meeting, 23–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) LAM
Home-field edge RGV
Model projection RGV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley
Your sims:Sims: RGV 0, LAM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelLAM 47%MarketLAM 51%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $11 traded · as of Oct 24, 9:40 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Lamar vs UT Rio Grande Valley Stats ComparisonLamar vs RGV Stats Comparison
| LamarLAM | UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8 | PPG | 23.9 |
| 22.5 | PA/G | 22.1 |
| 372.6 | YDS/G | 404.5 |
| 205.6 | PASS/G | 254.9 |
| 167 | RUSH/G | 149.6 |
| 5.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 45.5% | 3RD DOWN | 41.7% |
| 0.16 | OFF PPA | 0.04 |
| 43.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.8% |
| 37.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.5% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.06 |
| -24.9 | SRS | -27.8 |
THE VENUE
Robert and Janet Vackar StadiumLocationEdinburg, TX
Capacity13,498
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation98 ft
FAN NEWS
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