Massachusetts @ Rutgers, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Rutgers opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives Rutgers a 96% chance.
SeriesRutgers leads 3–2 · Rutgers won the last meeting, 48–21 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) RUTG
Home-field edge RUTG
Market lean RUTG
Model projection RUTG
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Massachusetts @ Rutgers
Your sims:Sims: RUTG 0, MASS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADRUTG −28.5MASS +28.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINERUTG −8000MASS +2200
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Rutgers vs Massachusetts Stats ComparisonRutgers vs MASS Stats Comparison
2025 stats| RutgersRUTG | MassachusettsMASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7#59 | PPG | 11.1#136 |
| 31.8#117 | PA/G | 38.6#136 |
| 407.6#43 | YDS/G | 247.5#136 |
| 266.1#25 | PASS/G | 165.1#120 |
| 141.5#84 | RUSH/G | 82.4#134 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 3.9#136 |
| 42.5%#41 | 3RD DOWN | 30.7%#132 |
| 0.31#134 | DEF PPA | 0.26#128 |
| 46.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 33.6%#134 |
| 47.3%#128 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.0%#131 |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#108 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| 0.21#36 | OFF PPA | -0.03#136 |
| 44.4% | RET PROD | -56.7% |
| 2.7 | SP+ | -32.9 |
| -0.2#67 | FPI | -18.8#137 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
SHI StadiumLocationPiscataway, NJ
Capacity52,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1994
Elevation62 ft
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