Mercyhurst @ New Mexico, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
New Mexico opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives New Mexico a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
UNM win
99% One-score game
4% Cover UNM −40.5
40%
99% One-score game
4% Cover UNM −40.5
40%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge UNM
Market lean UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Mercyhurst @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
New Mexico
Wvs Central Michigan38–7
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUNM 99%MarketUNM 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $44,221 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMERC +40.5UNM −40.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Mercyhurst vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonMercyhurst vs New Mexico Stats Comparison
| MercyhurstMERC | New MexicoUNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 38 |
| 47 | PA/G | 7 |
| 239 | YDS/G | 364 |
| 189.5 | PASS/G | 159 |
| 49.5 | RUSH/G | 205 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 36.4% | 3RD DOWN | 53.8% |
| 33.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 49.3% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 26.5% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.93 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | -0.05 |
| – | RET PROD | 58.2% |
| – | ELO | 1558 |
| – | SP+ | 4.4 |
| – | FPI | 0.9#64 |
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Mercyhurst or New Mexico?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
