Minnesota @ Penn State, Week 11 · 2026
@#18
GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDMinnesotaMINN0–0·B1G
Penn StatePSU0–0·B1G
PSU radioPenn State Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Penn State a 81% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 11–6 · Penn State won the last meeting, 26–25 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PSU
Home-field edge PSU
Model projection PSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Minnesota @ Penn State
Your sims:Sims: PSU 0, MINN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Penn State vs Minnesota Stats ComparisonPenn State vs Minnesota Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Penn StatePSU | MinnesotaMINN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31#34 | PPG | 23#101 |
| 20.5#30 | PA/G | 22.9#50 |
| 362#86 | YDS/G | 293.4#129 |
| 187.6#105 | PASS/G | 189.9#102 |
| 174.4#50 | RUSH/G | 103.5#129 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 43.6%#32 | 3RD DOWN | 40.1%#65 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| 0.23#30 | OFF PPA | 0.10#105 |
| 0.10#45 | DEF PPA | 0.15#69 |
| 46.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.9%#100 |
| 40.9%#59 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 7.6% | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| 1.20#101 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#125 |
| 16.2 | SP+ | 6.2 |
| 13.7#17 | FPI | 0.6#63 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Beaver StadiumLocationUniversity Park, PA
Capacity106,572
SurfaceGrass
Opened1960
Elevation1,162 ft
FAN NEWS
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