Consensus spread, total and line movement for three priced Penn State games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #6 in the Big Ten championship market at 5% and #16 in the national market at 2%.
BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio State | 31% | |
| 2 |  Oregon | 26% | |
| 3 |  Indiana | 24% | |
| 4 |  Michigan | 6% | |
| 5 |  USC | 6% | |
| 6 |  Penn State | 5% | |
| 7 |  Iowa | 2% | |
| 8 |  UCLA | 2% | |
| 9 |  Washington | 2% | |
| 10 |  Illinois | 1% | |
| 11 |  Maryland | 1% | |
| 12 |  Michigan State | 1% | |
| 13 |  Minnesota | 1% | |
| 14 |  Nebraska | 1% | |
| 15 |  Northwestern | 1% | |
| 16 |  Purdue | 1% | |
| 17 |  Rutgers | 1% | |
| 18 |  Wisconsin | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 | Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 |  Texas | 12% | |
| 4 | Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 |  Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 | Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 |  Miami | 8% | |
| 8 |  LSU | 6% | |
| 9 |  Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 11 | Michigan | 3% | |
| 12 |  Oklahoma | 3% | |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 |  Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 |  Florida | 2% | |
| 16 | Penn State | 2% | |
| 17 |  Tennessee | 2% | |
| 18 | USC | 2% |
HEISMAN TROPHY
| # | PLAYER | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ Carr | 12% | |
| 2 | Arch Manning | 10% | |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | down 1 today9% | |
| 4 | Dante Moore | down 1 today8% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Smith | up 1 today7% | |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 7% | |
| 7 | Trinidad Chambliss | down 1 today7% | |
| 8 | Josh Hoover | 5% | |
| 9 | Jayden Maiava | 4% | |
| 10 | John Mateer | 4% | |
| 11 | Keelon Russell | 4% | |
| 12 | Marcel Reed | 4% | |
| 13 | Sam Leavitt | 4% | |
| 14 | Gunner Stockton | 3% | |
| 15 |  LaNorris Sellers | 3% | |
| 16 |  Bear Bachmeier | 2% | |
| 17 | Bryce Underwood | 2% | |
| 18 |  Byrum Brown | 2% | |
| 19 | Demond Williams Jr. | 2% | |
| 20 |  Drew Mestemaker | 2% | |
| 21 |  Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 2% | |
| 22 |  Kevin Jennings | 2% | |
| 23 | Malachi Toney | 2% | |
| 24 | Rocco Becht | 2% | |
| 25 | Will Hammond | 2% | |
| 26 |  Ahmad Hardy | 1% | |
| 27 | Austin Mack | 1% | |
| 28 | Bo Jackson | 1% | |
| 29 | Brendan Sorsby | 1% |
COACH OF THE YEAR
| # | COACH | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Freeman | down 3 today19% | |
| 2 | Curt Cignetti | down 1 today10% | |
| 3 | Brent Venables | up 4 today7% | |
| 4 | Steve Sarkisian | down 1 today7% | |
| 5 | Dan Lanning | 6% | |
| 6 | Mario Cristobal | 6% | |
| 7 |  James Franklin | up 1 today5% | |
| 8 | Lane Kiffin | 5% | |
| 9 | Matt Campbell | 5% | |
| 10 | Mike Elko | down 1 today5% | |
| 11 | Bob Chesney | 4% | |
| 12 | Kirby Smart | 4% | |
| 13 | Lincoln Riley | 4% | |
| 14 | Pete Golding | 4% | |
| 15 | Ryan Day | 4% | |
| 16 | Joey McGuire | 3% | |
| 17 | Kalen DeBoer | down 1 today3% | |
| 18 | Kyle Whittingham | 3% | |
| 19 |  Bill Belichick | 2% | |
| 20 |  Deion Sanders | 2% | |
| 21 | Jon Sumrall | 2% | |
| 22 | Josh Heupel | 2% | |
| 23 | Matt Rhule | 2% | |
| 24 |  Clark Lea | 1% | |
| 25 |  Jerry Mack | 1% | |
| 26 |  Jim Mora | 1% | |
| 27 | Kalani Sitake | down 2 today1% | |
| 28 | Tie/Co-Winners | 1% | |
| 29 |  Tony Elliott | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 10+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 10 (29%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
PENN STATE 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 10–2
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marshall@Penn State | 7%93% | +23.5−23.5 | – | 52.5 | |
Penn State@ Temple | 90%10% | TBD | – | TBD | |
 Buffalo@Penn State | 3%97% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Wisconsin@Penn State | TBD | 16%84% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Penn State@Northwestern | 68%32% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| USC@Penn State | TBD | 46%54% | +1.5−1.5 | – | 56.5 |
| Penn State@Michigan | TBD | 33%67% | +6.5−6.5 | – | 51.5 |
| Purdue@Penn State | TBD | 9%91% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Penn State@Washington | TBD | 41%59% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Minnesota@Penn State | TBD | 19%81% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Rutgers@Penn State | TBD | 14%86% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Penn State@Maryland | TBD | 67%33% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for Penn State. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →