Mississippi Valley State @ Sacramento State, Week 1 · 2026
MVSU@
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Mississippi Valley StateMVSU–
StreamingESPN+
SAC radioHornet Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Sacramento State opens a 37.5-point favorite. Our model gives Sacramento State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Mississippi Valley State
10
SAC win
99% One-score game
3%
99% One-score game
3%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge SAC
Market lean SAC
Model projection SAC
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Mississippi Valley St @ Sacramento St
Your sims:Sims: SAC 0, MVSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sacramento State
Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)
Lat Eastern Michigan28–17Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSAC −37.5MVSU +37.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Sacramento State vs Mississippi Valley State Stats ComparisonSAC vs MVSU Stats Comparison
| Sacramento StateSAC | Mississippi Valley StateMVSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | – |
| 28 | PA/G | – |
| 268 | YDS/G | – |
| 219 | PASS/G | – |
| 49 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.3 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 21.4% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.08 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.06 | DEF PPA | – |
| 34.4% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 41.4% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.03 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -23.4 | SP+ | – |
| -10.4#111 | FPI | – |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationSacramento, CA
Capacity21,195
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation40 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
