GAME DAY
Week 10 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Idaho State a 53% chance.
SeriesMontana State leads 15–1 since 2004 · Montana State won the last meeting, 48–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge IDST
Model projection IDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana State @ Idaho State
Your sims:Sims: IDST 0, MTST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Montana State vs Idaho State Stats ComparisonMTST vs Idaho State Stats Comparison
| Montana StateMTST | Idaho StateIDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | PPG | 33.4 |
| 20.4 | PA/G | 20.8 |
| 446.4 | YDS/G | 428.2 |
| 239.1 | PASS/G | 292.2 |
| 207.2 | RUSH/G | 136 |
| 7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 48.8% | 3RD DOWN | 40.7% |
| +7 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.11 |
| 52.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33 |
| -0.01 | DEF PPA | -0.03 |
| -14.0 | SRS | -16.6 |
THE VENUE
Holt ArenaLocationPocatello, ID
Capacity12,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation4,561 ft
FAN NEWS
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