GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois State a 88% chance.
SeriesIllinois State leads 7–0 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 46–32 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge ILST
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Murray State @ Illinois State
Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, MUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Murray State vs Illinois State Stats ComparisonMurray State vs ILST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Murray StateMUR | Illinois StateILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | PPG | 58.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 5 |
| 305 | YDS/G | 248 |
| 201 | PASS/G | 128.5 |
| 104 | RUSH/G | 119.5 |
| 5.3 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 32.0% | 3RD DOWN | 68.8% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.34 |
| 0.32 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| 40.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.0% |
| 44.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4% |
| 1.20 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock StadiumLocationNormal, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation797 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Murray State or Illinois State?
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