GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·StreamingESPN+
MUR radioMurray State Racers Sports Network
ILST radioXfinity Mobile Redbird Sports Network
Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois State a 99% chance.
SeriesIllinois State leads 7–0 since 2005 · Illinois State won the last meeting, 46–32 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge ILST
Model projection ILST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Murray State @ Illinois State
Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, MUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Murray State
Lat South Dakota State42–9Lvs South Dakota48–20Lat North Dakota55–28
Illinois State
Wvs Indiana State17–10Wat Southern Illinois35–14Lvs South Dakota State31–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Murray State vs Illinois State Stats ComparisonMurray State vs ILST Stats Comparison
| Murray StateMUR | Illinois StateILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8 | PPG | 35.1 |
| 41.8 | PA/G | 16.2 |
| 276.8 | YDS/G | 396.6 |
| 161.5 | PASS/G | 219.6 |
| 115.2 | RUSH/G | 177 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 30.3% | 3RD DOWN | 51.9% |
| 36.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.0% |
| 50.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.2% |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | -0.08 |
| -44.7 | SRS | -11.5 |
THE VENUE
Hancock StadiumLocationNormal, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1963
Elevation797 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Murray State or Illinois State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 9 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
