New Mexico @ Nevada, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 68% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 6–4–1 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 24–22 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge NEV
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, NEV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico
New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs Minnesota20–17 (OT)Wvs San Diego State23–17 (OT)Wat Air Force20–3New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico vs Nevada Stats ComparisonNew Mexico vs Nevada Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New MexicoUNM | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1#73 | PPG | 17.6#128 |
| 22.3#46 | PA/G | 27.5#87 |
| 357.2#90 | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| 204.8#92 | PASS/G | 147.2#127 |
| 152.4#76 | RUSH/G | 155.2#73 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 39.4%#72 | 3RD DOWN | 32.1%#127 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.03#127 |
| 0.10#45 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 40.8%#88 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.1%#120 |
| 39.5%#46 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 58.2% | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| 1.25#55 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 0.0 | SP+ | -11.7 |
| -3.5#81 | FPI | -11.9#116 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
