North Alabama @ Arkansas, Week 1 · 2026

UNA@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
North AlabamaUNA

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Arkansas opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives Arkansas a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
ARK 99% UNA 1%
PROJECTED FINAL
North Alabama
14
ARK win
99%
One-score game
4%
Cover ARK −40.5
40%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge ARK
Market lean ARK
Model projection ARK
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
North Alabama @ Arkansas

Your sims:Sims: ARK 0, UNA 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
North AlabamaNorth Alabama2025: 0–1
Lat Western Kentucky55–6

Market-implied win probability

  1. Arkansas99%
  2. North Alabama2%
CFB Vibes ModelARK 99%MarketARK 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $38,223 traded · as of Sep 2, 1:21 AM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADUNA +40.5ARK −40.5
TOTALOver 63.5Under 63.5

DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice

North Alabama vs Arkansas Stats ComparisonUNA vs Arkansas Stats Comparison

2025 stats
North AlabamaUNAArkansasARK
PPG32.9#23
PA/G33.8#129
YDS/G455.1#14
3RD DOWN47.2%#15

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Razorback Stadium
LocationFayetteville, AR
Capacity80,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1938
Elevation1,325 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win