North Alabama @ Central Arkansas, Week 9 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 9 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims
WIN PROBABILITY
UNA 60% CARK 40%
PROJECTED FINAL
CARK win
40%
One-score game
39%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) UNA
Home-field edge CARK
Model projection UNA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas

Your sims:Sims: CARK 0, UNA 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Central Arkansas52%
  2. North Alabama45%
CFB Vibes ModelCARK 40%MarketCARK 52%

Market 12 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $8 traded · as of Oct 24, 11:40 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

North Alabama vs Central Arkansas Stats ComparisonUNA vs CARK Stats Comparison

North AlabamaUNACentral ArkansasCARK
23.9PPG25.1
23.1PA/G30.8
340.9YDS/G383.5
31.8%3RD DOWN41.9%

THE VENUE

Estes Stadium
LocationConway, AR
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1939
Elevation309 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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CFB VIBES MODELOSU 66% to win
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56Games in Week 9Full schedule →