North Dakota State @ San José State, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NDSU win
72% One-score game
34%
72% One-score game
34%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota St @ San José St
Your sims:Sims: NDSU 0, SJSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota State vs San José State Stats ComparisonNDSU vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| North Dakota StateNDSU | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 26 |
| 7 | PA/G | 42 |
| 373 | YDS/G | 336 |
| 164 | PASS/G | 234 |
| 209 | RUSH/G | 102 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 35.7% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 42.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9% |
| 30.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 66.2% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| -0.32 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| – | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| -1.8 | SP+ | -15.7 |
| -8.3#100 | FPI | -14.3#124 |
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
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