GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 54% chance.
SeriesNorth Dakota leads 3–1 since 2021 · North Dakota won the last meeting, 35–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UND
Home-field edge YSU
Model projection YSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota @ Youngstown State
Your sims:Sims: YSU 0, UND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota
North Dakota2026: 6–3
Lat South Dakota26–23 (OT)Wvs South Dakota State21–10Lat Northern Iowa24–17
Youngstown State
Youngstown State2026: 6–2
Wvs Northern Iowa35–22Wat Indiana State57–24Wat Southern Illinois28–16
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota vs Youngstown State Stats ComparisonNorth Dakota vs YSU Stats Comparison
| North DakotaUND | Youngstown StateYSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1 | PPG | 39.1 |
| 25.2 | PA/G | 23.1 |
| 429.4 | YDS/G | 470.2 |
| 231.9 | PASS/G | 276.5 |
| 197.6 | RUSH/G | 193.8 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2 |
| 41.4% | 3RD DOWN | 57.0% |
| 0.12 | OFF PPA | 0.37 |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| 46.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 53.5% |
| 36.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1% |
| 1.12 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27 |
| −7 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| -11.3 | SRS | -13.9 |
THE VENUE
Stambaugh StadiumLocationYoungstown, OH
Capacity20,630
SurfaceTurf
Opened1982
Elevation981 ft
FAN NEWS
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