GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southern Utah a 55% chance.
SeriesNorthern Arizona leads 10–6 since 2005 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 52–49 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge SUU
Model projection SUU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah
Your sims:Sims: SUU 0, NAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Arizona
Wvs Portland State38–25Wvs Montana49–44Wat Idaho State38–31
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNAU 45%MarketNAU 57%
Market 12 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $107 traded · as of Oct 25, 5:00 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Arizona vs Southern Utah Stats ComparisonNAU vs SUU Stats Comparison
| Northern ArizonaNAU | Southern UtahSUU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6 | PPG | 31.8 |
| 30.1 | PA/G | 33.1 |
| 397.5 | YDS/G | 448.4 |
| 245.1 | PASS/G | 182.8 |
| 152.4 | RUSH/G | 265.6 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7 |
| 34.7% | 3RD DOWN | 42.5% |
| +10 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.13 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.19 | DEF PPA | 0.17 |
| 45.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 42.1% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.7% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.39 |
| -25.6 | SRS | -27.8 |
THE VENUE
Eccles ColiseumLocationCedar City, UT
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation5,787 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Northern Arizona or Southern Utah?
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