Notre Dame @ Purdue, Week 4 · 2026
#4
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@GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDNotre DameND0–0
PUR radioPurdue Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Purdue a 7% chance.
SeriesNotre Dame leads 61–26–2 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 56–30 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ND
Home-field edge PUR
Model projection ND
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Notre Dame @ Purdue
Your sims:Sims: PUR 0, ND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Purdue vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonPurdue vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison
2025 stats| PurduePUR | Notre DameND | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | 42#2 |
| 31.8#117 | PA/G | 17.6#10 |
| 343.6#102 | YDS/G | 459.5#12 |
| 217.2#80 | PASS/G | 255.1#37 |
| 126.4#105 | RUSH/G | 204.4#17 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 7.5#1 |
| 38.4%#85 | 3RD DOWN | 48.1%#13 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.33#6 |
| 0.27#132 | DEF PPA | 0.02#9 |
| 42.0%#73 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.3%#24 |
| 47.8%#129 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.3%#14 |
| 47.5% | RET PROD | 51.2% |
| 1.22#77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.50#1 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | +13#7 |
| -2.2 | SP+ | 26.5 |
| -0.9#71 | FPI | 25.9#3 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ross-Ade StadiumLocationWest Lafayette, IN
Capacity57,282
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation648 ft
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