Oregon State @ Boise State, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·TVUSA Net
ORST radioBeaver Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Oregon State a 19% chance.
SeriesOregon State leads 6–5 · Boise State won the last meeting, 34–18 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Oregon State @ Boise State
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, BOIS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Oregon State vs Boise State Stats ComparisonOregon State vs Boise State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oregon StateORST | Boise StateBOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2#125 | PPG | 29.9#46 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 24.1#61 |
| 352.7#95 | YDS/G | 424.3#24 |
| 225.4#66 | PASS/G | 244.9#51 |
| 127.2#103 | RUSH/G | 179.4#38 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 35.9%#102 | 3RD DOWN | 45.8%#26 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.17#60 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.10#42 |
| 42.4%#67 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.3%#8 |
| 57.9% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.07#135 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#36 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -5.6 | SP+ | 5.1 |
| -8.1#98 | FPI | 4.0#50 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Albertsons StadiumLocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft
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