GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Richmond a 57% chance.
SeriesHoly Cross leads 1–0 since 2025 · Holy Cross won the last meeting, 28–22 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) RICH
Home-field edge HC
Model projection RICH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Richmond @ Holy Cross
Your sims:Sims: HC 0, RICH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelRICH 57%MarketRICH 51%
Market 6 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $1 traded · as of Oct 25, 1:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Richmond vs Holy Cross Stats ComparisonRichmond vs Holy Cross Stats Comparison
| RichmondRICH | Holy CrossHC | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9 | PPG | 21.9 |
| 24.4 | PA/G | 28.8 |
| 287.1 | YDS/G | 330.4 |
| 170.6 | PASS/G | 196 |
| 116.5 | RUSH/G | 134.4 |
| 4.8 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2 |
| 37.0% | 3RD DOWN | 36.4% |
| 0.10 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| 40.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5% |
| 36.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| 0.00 | OFF PPA | 0.01 |
| -35.1 | SRS | -41.9 |
THE VENUE
Fitton FieldLocationWorcester, MA
Capacity23,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation451 ft
FAN NEWS
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