GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Tennessee State a 84% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 · East Tennessee State won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETSU
Home-field edge ETSU
Model projection ETSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Samford @ East Tennessee State
Your sims:Sims: ETSU 0, SAM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Samford vs East Tennessee State Stats ComparisonSamford vs ETSU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| SamfordSAM | East Tennessee StateETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | PPG | 42.5 |
| 22 | PA/G | 31.5 |
| 254.5 | YDS/G | 506 |
| 223.5 | PASS/G | 316 |
| 31 | RUSH/G | 190 |
| 4.2 | YDS/PLAY | 7.7 |
| 37.5% | 3RD DOWN | 56.5% |
| 0.02 | OFF PPA | 0.38 |
| 0.13 | DEF PPA | 0.22 |
| 24.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.4% |
| 37.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1% |
| 1.88 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
William B. Greene Jr. StadiumLocationJohnson City, TN
Capacity7,694
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,681 ft
FAN NEWS
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