GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Tennessee State a 65% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 since 2016 · East Tennessee State won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETSU
Home-field edge ETSU
Model projection ETSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Samford @ East Tennessee State
Your sims:Sims: ETSU 0, SAM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Samford vs East Tennessee State Stats ComparisonSamford vs ETSU Stats Comparison
| SamfordSAM | East Tennessee StateETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9 | PPG | 33.4 |
| 23.1 | PA/G | 21.9 |
| 292.2 | YDS/G | 415.5 |
| 211.1 | PASS/G | 231.8 |
| 81.1 | RUSH/G | 183.8 |
| 4.6 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1 |
| 31.8% | 3RD DOWN | 49.1% |
| 0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 34.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 46.7% |
| 39.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.0% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −4 |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.20 |
| -29.9 | SRS | -27.6 |
THE VENUE
William B. Greene Jr. StadiumLocationJohnson City, TN
Capacity7,694
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,681 ft
FAN NEWS
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