San José State @ Air Force, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San José State a 16% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 6–3 · Air Force won the last meeting, 26–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San José State @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs Air Force Stats ComparisonSJSU vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| San José StateSJSU | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#113 | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| 32.5#121 | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| 403.2#50 | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| 283.2#13 | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| 120.1#111 | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| 0.17#64 | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| 43.2%#57 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| 42.4%#83 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.25#62 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −13#133 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| -15.7 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
