South Dakota State @ Northwestern, Week 1 · 2026

SDST@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
South Dakota StateSDST

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Northwestern opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Northwestern a 80% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
NU 80% SDST 20%
PROJECTED FINAL
South Dakota State
17
NU win
80%
One-score game
29%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge NU
Market lean NU
Model projection NU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
South Dakota St @ Northwestern

Your sims:Sims: NU 0, SDST 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
South Dakota StateSouth Dakota State2025: 1–1
Lvs North Dakota State38–7Wvs Sacramento State20–3
SPREADSDST +13.5NU −13.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINESDST +470NU −650

DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice

South Dakota State vs Northwestern Stats ComparisonSDST vs Northwestern Stats Comparison

2025 stats
South Dakota StateSDSTNorthwesternNU
PPG23.4#98
PA/G19.8#23
YDS/G346.8#98
3RD DOWN42.9%#37

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
LocationEvanston, IL
Capacity12,023
SurfaceTurf
Opened1997
Elevation587 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win