GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 58% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 10–3 since 2012 · South Dakota won the last meeting, 24–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDAK
Home-field edge SDST
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota @ South Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: SDST 0, SDAK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Dakota
Wvs North Dakota26–23 (OT)Wat Murray State48–20Wvs Southern Illinois31–10
South Dakota State
Wvs Murray State42–9Lat North Dakota21–10Wat Illinois State31–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota vs South Dakota State Stats ComparisonSouth Dakota vs SDST Stats Comparison
| South DakotaSDAK | South Dakota StateSDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.7 | PPG | 37.1 |
| 24.2 | PA/G | 15.8 |
| 409.8 | YDS/G | 472.8 |
| 217.1 | PASS/G | 209.4 |
| 192.7 | RUSH/G | 263.4 |
| 6.7 | YDS/PLAY | 7 |
| 45.7% | 3RD DOWN | 40.6% |
| +4 | TO MARGIN | +6 |
| 0.29 | OFF PPA | 0.26 |
| 47.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.4% |
| 43.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.3% |
| 1.29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | -0.07 |
| -11.5 | SRS | -12.5 |
THE VENUE
Dana J. Dykhouse StadiumLocationBrookings, SD
Capacity19,340
SurfaceTurf
Opened2016
Elevation1,627 ft
FAN NEWS
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