South Florida @ Florida Atlantic, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDUSF radioBulls Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Florida a 51% chance.
SeriesSouth Florida leads 5–2 · South Florida won the last meeting, 48–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USF
Home-field edge FAU
Model projection USF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic
Your sims:Sims: USF 0, FAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Florida vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonUSF vs FAU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South FloridaUSF | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5#5 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 23.4#53 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 487.8#3 | YDS/G | 445.7#22 |
| 275.6#18 | PASS/G | 340.5#1 |
| 212.2#13 | RUSH/G | 105.2#123 |
| 7#5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 46.4%#20 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.08#30 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 46.7%#22 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.30#38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −21#136 |
| -1.7 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -0.9#73 | FPI | -11.3#115 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FAU StadiumLocationBoca Raton, FL
Capacity29,419
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation12 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
