TCU @ Arizona, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·ArizonaARIZ0–0·B12
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives TCU a 40% chance.
SeriesTCU leads 2–1 · TCU won the last meeting, 49–28 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARIZ
Home-field edge ARIZ
Model projection ARIZ
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
TCU @ Arizona
Your sims:Sims: TCU 0, ARIZ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3TCU
TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)
Lvs North Carolina15–10TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
TCU vs Arizona Stats ComparisonTCU vs Arizona Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TCUTCU | ArizonaARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7#40 | PPG | 31.5#30 |
| 25.3#72 | PA/G | 19.3#21 |
| 421.8#27 | YDS/G | 407.9#42 |
| 290.1#9 | PASS/G | 255.2#36 |
| 131.8#99 | RUSH/G | 152.7#75 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 47.4%#14 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +18#2 |
| 0.20#48 | OFF PPA | 0.17#67 |
| 0.14#59 | DEF PPA | 0.07#25 |
| 44.5%#44 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.6%#66 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.9%#27 |
| 22.4% | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| 1.26#50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#51 |
| 9.4 | SP+ | 9.5 |
| 6.4#38 | FPI | 7.2#34 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Arizona StadiumLocationTucson, AZ
Capacity50,782
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation2,435 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
